There are just 12 games left in the Vancouver Canucks regular season, and time is running out for them and their chances to make the playoffs.
As we covered on CanucksArmy over the weekend, Saturday could not have gone much worse for the Canucks.
First off, they lost 5-3 to the New York Rangers after outshooting them 39-12 – with JT Miller finding the empty net from 200 feet away just to rub salt in the wounds of the Canucks.
Then, all three of their competitors in the race for the final Western Conference Wild Card spot nabbed two points. The St. Louis Blues defeated the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1; the Utah Hockey Club beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-4, and the Calgary Flames came back to steal a 4-3 overtime victory over the New York Islanders.
The Blues would add another victory on Sunday, defeating the Nashville Predators 4-1 to further extend their lead on the Canucks and the rest of the pack.
After the weekend results, here are the Western Conference standings and a look at how the Wild Card race currently stands:
With the Los Angeles Kings and Edmonton Oilers having a 10-point lead on the Flames and an 11-point lead on the Canucks, those three spots are all but locked up. And after starting out as one of the league’s best teams, through the first few months of the season, the Minnesota Wild have given them a cushioned lead on the rest of the pack vying for a Wild Card spot.
While it looks like the Blues are starting to run away with it, they have played two more games than the Canucks and Hockey Club and three more than the Flames. If Calgary wins their games in hand, they will surpass the Blues in the standings. If the Canucks win their games in hand, they will trail the Blues by just one point, and the Hockey Club will trail by two points.
However, that’s not to say the Blues don’t have the upper hand. While the other teams have games in hand, the other teams need to win those games to capitalize and shorten the cushion St. Louis has built.
Now that we’ve taken a look at the standings let’s check out their playoff odds and see how possible it is for the Canucks to make it.
All playoff odds are provided by MoneyPuck.com.
Ahead of Monday night’s action, here are the four teams battling for the playoff spot and their current odds to make it.
1st – St. Louis Blues – 52.7%
2nd – Calgary Flames – 29.8%
3rd – Utah Hockey Club – 11.6%
4th – Vancouver Canucks – 11.3%
The Canucks have dropped from second to fourth after their 4-3 shootout victory against the Calgary Flames in our last update.
MoneyPuck has the Blues projected to finish with 92.5 points. To get to 93 points, the Blues would need to go 6-3-1 over their remaining 10 games, which isn’t out of reach for them. After this weekend, they don’t play any more back-to-backs, and they have five games against teams currently in a playoff spot (Colorado Avalanche x2, Monreal Canadiens, Winnipeg Jets and Edmonton Oilers) and five that are on the outside looking in (Nashville Predators, Detroit Red Wings, Pittsburgh Penguins, Seattle Kraken and Utah Hockey Club).
With these projections, the Canucks would need to get to 93 points to tie and 94 points to get into the playoffs. Currently at 76 points, the Canucks need to go at least 8-3-1 (17 points) over their remaining 12 games to get to 93 points – 9-3 if they want to get to 94. Now, that isn’t going to be easy for Vancouver. They play seven games against teams currently in a playoff position (Vegas Golden Knights x2, New Jersey Devils, Winnipeg Jets, Dallas Stars, Colorado Avalanche and Minnesota Wild) and just five games against teams out of a playoff spot (New York Islanders, Columbus Blue Jackets, Seattle Kraken, Anaheim Ducks and San Jose Sharks).
However, they still have Calgary to get past as well. The Flames need to go at least 8-5 to get to 93 points and 8-4-1 to get to 94 over their remaining 13 games. Calgary has an uphill battle as well, playing seven games against playoff teams (Vegas Golden Knights x2, Dallas Stars, Edmonton Oilers, Colorado Avalanche, Minnesota Wild and Los Angeles Kings) and six games against non-playoff teams (Anaheim Ducks x2, San Jose Sharks x2, Seattle Kraken and Utah Hockey Club).
Let’s not forget about Utah. They have even more ground to make up for a chance at the playoffs. They need to go 9-3 over their remaining 12 games to get to 93 points – 9-2-1 to get to 94. The Hockey Club has six games against playoff teams (Tampa Bay Lightning, Florida Panthers, Los Angeles Kings, Winnipeg Jets, Dallas Stars and St. Louis Blues) and six games against non-playoff teams (Nashville Predators x2, Detroit Red Wings, Chicago Blackhawks, Calgary Flames and Seattle Kraken).
Not only do the Canucks need to go on an incredible run down the stretch, they potentially have to do it without the likes of Elias Pettersson and Nils Höglander. There are no updates on two of the three forwards after exiting their latest game against the Rangers.
To highlight even further how difficult of a challenge this is going to be for the Canucks, is that they have just one stretch of 12 games this season where they finished with the 17 points they need to hit the 93-point playoff bar. We have to rewind to a stretch from October 17 t0 November 14 when the club went on an 8-3-1 run.
On top of all of this, they will have to get a lot of their work done in regulation time, as the Canucks have fallen behind in the playoff tiebreakers of regulation wins.
The Canucks will begin that journey tonight when they take on the New Jersey Devils. With a regulation loss tonight, the Canucks’ playoff hopes dwindle to just 6.7%, and they will need to go 8-2-1 over their final 11 games.
What do you think, Canucks fans? Can they do it? Let us know in the comments below!
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