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Photo Credit: Cape Breton Post

CANUCKSARMY’S 2018 NHL DRAFT PROFILES: #69 Yegor Sokolov

We remain in the QMJHL for the 69th ranked prospect in the 2018 NHL Entry Draft.

Russian winger Yegor Sokolov is a big bodied winger who uses his size effectively to generate offence and control play along the boards.

At this point, he does look to be a long-term project for any team but has an intriguing game that teams hope can round out as he progresses up the ranks.

Let’s take a look at the winger.

Bio

  • Age/Birthdate: 17.27/ June 7, 2000
  • Birthplace: Yekaterinburg, RUS
  • Frame:6-foot-4/ 223 lbs
  • Position: Right Wing
  • Handedness: Right
  • Draft Year Team: Cape Breton Screaming Eagles(QMJHL)
  • Accomplishments/Awards:
  • 2015-2016
    • YOG Bronze Medal
  • 2016-2017
    • U17 WHC Bronze Medal

Stats

Career

Sokolov was selected with the 35th overall selection in the 2017 CHL Import Draft and made the leap to the QMJHL for his draft season. He represented Russia at the Ivan Hlinka to start the year that saw him post one goal and three assists in five games.

2017-18 Season

GP G A P SEAL INV% 5v5 Pr INV% 5v5 eP160 Sh/Gp Sh% GF% GF%rel GD60rel XLS% XPR xVAL
64 21 21 42 0.00 19.5% 16.8% 1.33 2.64 12% 39.3% -5.8% -0.69 16% 38.2 1.4

Sokolov appears to have started the season off really well and then hit a wall offensively as his role diminished. His GF% and GF%REL are of concern but the 16.0% success rate with pGPS is at least encouraging.

Adjusted Scoring (SEAL)

Team Relative

Needless to say that there are some concerns with the graphs above. Sokolov saw his 5v5 ice time drop throughout the season and with that so did his contributions. Add the fact that he was the lowest producing forward with his linemates and generally brought them down in terms of goals for percentages.

Cohort Based

A respectable 15.6% of cohorts went onto NHL careers with an expected production of 38.2 points per 60 games played. Eric Daze is a close comparable in terms of age to start the draft year and production.

Our Take

No matter how you look at it, Sokolov is a risk based on the hope that he will round out his game and be that power forward that every team desires. It’s okay to draft for that need at this point in the draft, instead of the early first round, but with the understanding that you are passing on the high skill potential of other players.

The Yekaterinburg native is skilled with the puck and has a balanced offensive game with a willingness to make the pass or shoot. As expected with his size, he is strong along the boards and at protecting the puck.

His skating is of concern, I find him to be heavy on his feet. He has an okay top speed when he is given time and space but he needs to a clear straight line to make that happen while needing huge areas to pivot, stop/start, and change direction. There are some technique issues with it, so with some more skill coaching, it could very improve. With the NHL getting faster by the day, the counterpoint is that even if he improves it, will it be enough?

Personally, I would be leery about it and lean towards the thought that he may just never be fast enough to keep up.

As mentioned above, there are some red flags about his production and his contributions at 5v5 play. The skating is an issue for me.

With that in mind, the pGPS success rate at least suggests that his underwhelming production isn’t terrible.

Any team that does select the 6’4″ winger will know that he will take a long time to develop and may only project to being a fourth line player who is skilled with the puck. It’s easy to get enchanted by the idea that a player could be his ceiling. It does happen, players do reach that ceiling, but there is always a risk with that.

Further Reading

Consolidated Average Future Considerations Hockey Prospect.com ISS Hockey McKeen’s The Athletic TSN Bob McKenzie TSN Craig Button The Hockey News Sportsnet ESPN Dobber Prospects
103 79.8 97 71 82

From NHL Central Scouting Service:

Good size/strength winger – very good puck skills and ability to always be open for scoring chances – good vision and playmaking abilities; decent finishing touch – strong on the puck and very good puck protection game – effective puck control game down low and along the wall – patient to make good decisions with the puck.

CanucksArmy’s 2018 NHL Draft Rankings

#70 Alexander Khovanov
#71 Curtis Douglas #72 BENOIT-OLIVIER GROULX #73 SAMPO RANTA
#74 MARCUS KARLBERG #75 AXEL ANDERSSON #76 DAVID LILJA
#77 KODY CLARK #78 DMITRY ZAVGORODNY #79 LINUS NYMAN
#80 LIAM FOUDY #81 LINUS KARLSSON #82 Jachym Kondelik
#83 SCOTT PERNOVICH #84 G JAKUB SKAREK #85 TY EMBERSON
#86 JAY O’BRIEN #87 CARL WASSENIUS #88 VLADISLAV KOTKOV
#89 EMIL WESTERLUND #90 JERRY TURKULAINEN #91 STANISLAV DEMIN
#92 TYLER MADDEN #93 JAN JENIK #94 G OLIVIER RODRIGUE
#95 XAVIER BERNARD #96 KRISTIAN TANUS #97 LUKAS WERNBLOM
#98 NANDO EGGENBERGER #99 MATTHEW STRUTHERS #100 SHAWN BOURDIAS

  • d21

    Love the posts, Ryan. But would like to enquire more about how you guys come up with these rankings. This guy seems physically similar to Vladislav Kotkov ranked at #88, but with a worse SEAL P/GP, skating issues, & worse draft rankings across the board from the “experts”.

    Really enjoy the commentary & stats, but losing the plot a bit on how you guys have this guy 19 places ahead of Kotkov despite Kotkov’s more favourable scoring & also seemingly more optimistic commentary from you in the description.

    Any explanation would be awesome, and again appreciate the hard work & thoughtful analysis of these rankings.

    • Ryan Biech

      The average rankings are based on the services that have provided rankings divided by the number of places that have him ranked – so here, we have three rankings – add together and divide by three.

      Consolidated is done by points: you get 100 for 1st, 99 for 2nd, all the way down to 1 for 100th, and nothing after that. Ranking is then determined by the most points.

      Our number order is based on the lists that five writers (myself, Jeremy, Janik, Jackson, and J.D.) have provided. Unless I am mistaken, some of them did not provide a full 100 ranking. So what happens is players like Kotkov and Sokolov were only separated by a couple of spots on one list and then were varied on another, but through the averaging of our rankings, Sokolov rated slightly higher. After going through the posts, I would make a couple switches here and there.

      With some honesty, I submitted my list over three weeks ago and have since changed them as I have been able to review more video, look at stats, and discuss further with others (Jeremy specifically). But it’s the nature of the beast, as even now, we are doing 5-6 posts a day JUST to make the cut off before the draft. Whereas teams can dissect this stuff up until the night before.

      If you need anything else clarified, let me know.