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What does the younger Elias Pettersson’s breakout mean for the Canucks and their rebuild?
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Photo credit: Wendell Cruz for IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
Stephan Roget
Oct 15, 2026, 12:21 EDT
The Vancouver Canucks don’t just have one Elias Pettersson performing unexpectedly well to start the 2026-27 season. They’ve got two of them, and as exciting as the Senior Pettersson’s purported comeback has been, it’s the breakout of Junior that might be the more important happening for the Canucks in the long term.
The younger Pettersson is playing well is almost indisputable. Through eight games of the regular season, he’s played the fourth-most 5-on-5 minutes on the team with 116:01, behind Zeev Buium, Filip Hronek, and Tom Willander. And within those minutes and that top-four group, Pettersson has achieved easily the best results.
He’s been on the ice for five goals for and only two against on a team that is minus-12 overall. He’s got a team-leading Corsi rating of 57.29%, making him the only Canuck with a rating over 50%. Same goes for his control of scoring chances at 57.45% and his even more impressive control of high-danger chances at 61.54%. Pettersson isn’t known for his offence, but he’s already got two goals on the year, including a highlight-reel game-winner in Game 3 against the Calgary Flames.
Pettersson has been succeeding in a multitude of situations. He’s already spent time on the third pairing with Luke Schenn, and the top pairing with Hronek. Most recently, he’s settled into a defensively-oriented second pairing with Willander.
All this while starting the bulk of his shifts in the defensive zone and facing what amounts to roughly league-average competition. In other words, Pettersson isn’t being sheltered at all, and he’s still very much performing like a true top-four defender.
It’s quite a breakout for a player who, at times, didn’t even look like a full-time NHLer last year. Some even speculated that the 22-year-old might spend some additional time in the AHL this season. Instead, he’s solidified his place in the lineup short-term and his place in the Canucks’ plans long-term.
So, what might it all mean for the rebuild?
If Pettersson can sustain this level of play long-term, he could become a real fixture in the Canucks’ top four. That’s even more true if he can continue to develop chemistry with Willander.
Pettersson and Willander have real potential to be a classic two-way second pairing that can contribute on offence, but who put more emphasis on defence. In a sense, they’re already fulfilling that role. Now, with the rest of the blueline a little messy at the moment, we’re not seeing those results translate into wins. But it’s not hard to imagine how they will eventually.
Obviously, any optimistic long-term projection for the Vancouver blueline has to include Buium eventually working through his current troubles and becoming a top-pair defender. (Which is why it’s important to remember that Buium is still two years younger than Pettersson.) But even if that happens, Buium is always going to be an offensively-oriented defender. It might be a perfect fit, then, to have him patrol the top pairing while Pettersson and Willander remain on the second, ready and willing to take on some of the tougher matchups.
If all that works out, then it’s really just a matter of figuring out Buium’s long-term top-pair partner, whether that be an older Hronek or someone the Canucks have drafted and developed in the interim.
Put it all together, and it’s not hard to imagine a top-four of
Buium-Hronek
Pettersson-Willander
starting to achieve some success here and now, within the 2026-27 season, but also growing toward a greater form of success in a few years to come. We realize we’re getting ahead of ourselves a bit here, but it is truly satisfying to see some of these pieces start to click into place like an enormous, rebuild-shaped jigsaw puzzle.
Of course, nothing is guaranteed. But these players are already in place, and when it comes to Pettersson specifically, already making some significant gains. And that can’t help but impact some of the Canucks’ rebuilding plans.
Let’s imagine that Pettersson maintains this level of play throughout the season. The Canucks would go into the 2027 Entry Draft with the knowledge that, between Buium and Pettersson, they’ve got the left side of their blueline pretty well locked up for the foreseeable future. Right away, that allows them to put their focus on other parts of their depth chart that more badly need talent.
There’s not a lot of certainty here, but there is more certainty than a rebuilding team normally has about their blueline at this stage of a rebuild. Or, really, most NHL teams in any stage of development. Think back to how often the Canucks themselves have been on the hunt for top-four-quality D over the past decade or so. To have four top-four defenders already on the roster and under long-term team control is not something to be sneezed at. It’s a significant early win.
Speaking of long-term team control, Pettersson’s next contract needs to be considered. He’s been eligible for an extension since July 1, and though some pundits advocated for him to be locked up to an eight-year deal this past summer, that didn’t happen. One has to imagine that the price tag for Pettersson has only risen since then, but the defensive nature of his game should put a reasonable limit on the type of cap hit he can command.
In any case, it might be wise for the Canucks to sign Pettersson to an extension sooner rather than later. An entire season of being Vancouver’s top overall defender would no doubt earn him another couple of million per season, so signing him before 2026-27 concludes should be a priority, if it’s at all possible.
Essentially, what Pettersson’s breakout means for the Canucks is the potential filling in of a missing piece for the rebuild. Previously, it was thought that Pettersson might reasonably top out as a strong bottom-pairing defender, especially on a contending team. But if he can maintain this new level as a true top-four piece, that’s one more piece that the Canucks have in hand that they otherwise would have needed to spend assets to find.
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