Breaking down the market and competition for 13 of the Canucks’ most tradeable assets
Photo credit:© Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports
9 months ago
Three weeks to go until NHL Trade Deadline 2022.
We’ve spilled plenty of digital ink already positing potential deals between the Vancouver Canucks and various trade partners, but we’ve yet to really look at the BIG picture.
You see, when it comes to hockey trades, it takes more than two to tango, and every transaction, really, involves more like 32 teams — your own team, the team you’re trading with, and the 30 other teams you don’t trade with.
As the Canucks explore the trade market for their myriad tradeable assets, they’ll have to measure the intentions of the other franchises carefully. Not only will the Canucks need to worry about how many different teams are interested in buying their pieces, they’ll also have to worry about all the other teams that might be selling similar pieces of their own.
The more buyers on the market, the higher the returns should be.
The more sellers on the market, the lower.
That’s just basic economics, and with that in mind, we’ve broken down the basic shape of the market heading into the 2022 Trade Deadline.
Top-Six Forwards For Sale
Who are the Canucks offering?: JT Miller, Brock Boeser, Conor Garland
This is the big-ticket right here, where the Canucks have the most to sell, and the other teams have — theoretically — the most to give back in return. The Canucks won’t deal all three of these players, but they’ll almost certainly deal at least one of them, and maybe two.
Who’s buying?: Boston Bruins, Colorado Avalanche, Edmonton Oilers, Los Angeles Kings, Minnesota Wild, Nashville Predators, New York Rangers, Pittsburgh Penguins, Toronto Maple Leafs, Washington Capitals
Every playoff-bound team would probably like to add a top-six scorer if they could, but only so many have the roster and cap space to do so. Still, the list is a lot longer than one might expect, and that’s got to be encouraging for the Canucks.
Who’s also selling?: Anaheim Ducks (Ryan Getzlaf), Arizona Coyotes (Phil Kessel), Colombus Blue Jackets (Patrik Laine), Dallas Stars (Joe Pavelski), Detroit Red Wings (Tyler Bertuzzi), Montreal Canadiens (Jonathan Drouin), Nashville Predators (Filip Forsberg), Philadelphia Flyers (Claude Giroux), San Jose Sharks (Tomas Hertl), Winnipeg Jets (Andrew Copp)
There are also, unfortunately, more top-six forwards on the market than there usually are this time of year. None of them are of the same quality as a Miller, and only a handful are in the same territory as Boeser and Garland, but the options will provide at least some leverage to the teams negotiating with the Canucks.
Market favours: SLIGHT SELLER’S MARKET
Middle-Six/Bottom-Six Forward For Sale
Who are the Canucks offering?: Tyler Motte, Tanner Pearson, Jason Dickinson, Alex Chiasson
The Canucks have a wide variety of pieces available here. Motte is the premium asset, obviously, and a pending UFA. Pearson could draw some attention, but his contract will scare some teams away. Dickinson and Chiasson can be had for very little.
Who’s buying?: Boston Bruins, Calgary Flames, Colorado Avalanche, Edmonton Oilers, Florida Panthers, Los Angeles Kings, Minnesota Wild, New York Rangers, Pittsburgh Penguins, St. Louis Blues, Tampa Bay Lightning, Washington Capitals
Most playoff teams with any semblance of cap space are going to try to add some forward depth, where possible. Expect a much larger market for Motte than any of the rest, given salary constraints.
Who’s also selling?: Arizona Coyotes (Riley Nash, Antoine Roussel), Buffalo Sabres (Anders Bjork, Cody Eakin, John Hayden), Chicago Blackhawks (Ryan Carpenter, Brandon Hagel), Columbus Blue Jackets (Max Domi, Brendan Gaunce, Sean Kuraly), Detroit Red Wings (Vladislav Namestnikov, Carter Rowney, Sam Gagner), Montreal Canadiens (Mike Hoffman, Artturi Lehkonen, Cedric Paquette), New Jersey Devils (Andreas Johnsson, Pavel Zacha), New York Islanders (Cal Clutterbuck), Ottawa Senators (Chris Tierney, Zach Sanford, Austin Watson), Philadelphia Flyers (Derick Brassard, Zack MacEwen), San Jose Sharks (Andrew Cogliano, Ryan Dzingel, Matt Nieto), Seattle Kraken (Colin Blackwell, Ryan Donato, Calle Jarnkrok, Marcus Johansson, Riley Sheahan, etc)
As always, there are a lot of forwards available at the 2022 Trade Deadline, and they come in pretty much every shape and size imaginable. Teams will be able to pick and choose to their heart’s content.
Market favours: BUYER’S MARKET
Depth Defender For Sale
Who are the Canucks offering?: Luke Schenn, Travis Hamonic, Tucker Poolman, Brad Hunt
The most common currency of the Trade Deadline is the veteran depth defender. Unfortunately, the Canucks don’t really have much to offer here. Schenn would be a hot commodity, but they’d rather hang on to him for another year. Hamonic and Poolman could be had for free. Hunt is a veteran defender with playoff experience, so he’s worth a late pick at least.
Who’s buying?: Boston Bruins, Colorado Avalanche, Edmonton Oilers, Florida Panthers, Los Angeles Kings, Minnesota Wild, New York Rangers, Pittsburgh Penguins, St. Louis Blues, Tampa Bay Lightning, Toronto Maple Leafs, Vegas Golden Knights, Washington Capitals
Basically, every playoff team is going to pick up at least one depth defender, unless they’re loaded up to the gills already, like the Carolina Hurricanes.
Who’s also selling?: Detroit Red Wings (Marc Staal, Troy Stecher), Montreal Canadiens (Brett Kulak, Chris Wideman), New York Islanders (Zdeno Chara, Andy Greene), Ottawa Senators (Josh Brown, Victor Mete), Philadelphia Flyers (Kevin Connauton, Nick Seeler), Chicago Blackhawks (Calvin de Haan, Erik Gustafsson), Seattle Kraken (Jeremy Lauzon, Will Borgen, Haydn Fleury), Winnipeg Jets (Nathan Beaulieu)
There definitely seem to be fewer depth defender options available this year than in seasons past. Unfortunately, that’s not really something the Canucks can take advantage of, outside of auctioning off Schenn.
Market favours: SELLER’S MARKET
Backup Goalie For Sale
Who are the Canucks offering?: Jaroslav Halak, Spencer Martin (maybe)
Even with that $1.25 million bonus achieved, the Canucks will still try to move Halak for whatever return is possible. If that fails, or if Halak invokes his NMC, then the Canucks might explore the market for Martin, but they’d probably rather not.
Who’s buying?: Colorado Avalanche, Edmonton Oilers, Los Angeles Kings, Nashville Predators, New York Rangers, Pittsburgh Penguins, Toronto Maple Leafs, Vegas Golden Knight
There are plenty of contending teams looking for a solid backup, an upgraded backup, or — in the case of the Oilers — a starter.
Who’s also selling?: Chicago Blackhawks (Marc-Andre Fleury), Columbus Blue Jackets (Joonas Korpisalo), Dallas Stars (Braden Holtby, Anton Khudobin), Montreal Canadiens (Jake Allen), Philadelphia Flyers (Martin Jones), San Jose Sharks (James Reimer),
The Canucks should have this market cornered. Aside from Fleury, who will be expensive to acquire, Halak looks like the best backup available. Of course, there’s still that pesky NMC in the way…
Market favours: SELLER’S MARKET
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