CanucksArmy Prospect Profile 2015: #15 Lukas Jasek

CA15

Selected 174th overall, Lukas Jasek presents arguably the highest value for the Vancouver Canucks in the 2015 NHL Entry Draft and stacks up nicely when compared against selections elsewhere, as well.

Listed at 6-foot-1 and 194 pounds (and with room to fill in), the Canucks’ 2015 sixth-round selection has more offensive upside than his lowly draft slot would suggest. In addition to lighting up the top Czech junior league, Jasek suited up in 27 games for HC Trinec in the Czech Elite League as a very young 17-year old – a testament to his mature skill set and a fact that bodes extremely well for his odds of developing into a bona fide NHL player.

Though Jasek is an intriguing prospect, there are reasons why the Czech standout lasted well into the second day of the draft. Low-risk and carrying the potential for immense reward, Jasek is ranked 15th on our list.

Jasek is a CanucksArmy favourite because of his promising counting stats and the fact that he’s generally ‘played up’ through his later teenage years, but before we get too much further into that, let’s temper our PCS-based optimism with the more critical and polarizing beliefs within the wider hockey industry. 

Not only did Jasek last until the sixth-round of the 2015 NHL Entry Draft despite being ranked by some scouts – like ESPN’s Corey Pronman – as a third-round caliber talent, but had ranked as a third-round quality talent, was recently a puzzling snub by the Czech national team (though Jasek eventually was included at the U20 camp as a replacement player). 

The persistent snubs and what they rather softly imply combine with the generic ‘all 17-year-old hockey prospects drafted outside the top pick or two are a just lottery tickets at this point anyways’ qualifiers and make up the bulk of our ‘red flags’ section of this profile. Because there’s a lot to like here, particularly for a sixth-round pick.

As I’ve already outlined, his inclusion on the HC Trinac team of the Czech Elite Leauge as a very young forward bodes well for his likelihood to develop into an NHLer – it also makes him a PCS favourite. While his production among adults isn’t overly inspiring (a meagre 2 assists in 27 games), that he skated among them at all is impressive. HC Trinec was a dominant team in the Czech league and they made it as far to the finals in their playoffs.

Generally speaking players who compare with Jasek – in terms of stature and level of production in their age-17 season – have become NHL regulars, and pretty good NHL regulars at that, almost one third of the time. 

Jasek

(small sample warnings abound, which is again encouraging, because it shows what Jasek did is quite rare. Hat-tip to MoneyPuck for the graph and input)

Though Jasek struggled to produce as a small fish in a big pond, his production among peers in his age group was exceptional. He was over a point-per-game player in the Czech U20 league as a 17-year-old and his international production is similarly encouraging. Jasek was an absolute monster for the Czechs in the 2014 Ivan Hlinka Memorial Tournament, potting 7 points in 5 games and similarly productive in International Jr. play (although he didn’t record a single point at the U18 World Junior tournament last winter, which offsets some of this and likely played a role in his declining draft stock in the lead up to the draft). 

Though there’s a lot to like about Jasek’s game and his chances of becoming an NHL player, there remains a high degree of probability that he won’t ever develop into an impact NHL player. The repeated snubs from management teams these last few months raises red flags and as is often the case for players his age, Jasek will definitely need to get stronger to develop the necessary physical package to be a bona fide NHL forward.

Based on what we know at the moment though, Jasek seems like a very wise bet by the Canucks as a sixth-round draft selection. There’s legitimate reasons to dream on Jasek as the sort of player that could significantly outperform his late draft slot. Who knows, this might even be the first great steal from the Jim Benning era of drafting in Vancouver. That is what he was brought in for, after all. 



  • ianb

    I know elite prospects has him at 194lbs but that must be a mistake. Listed at 165lbs on hockeydb which seems more reasonable bc he just looks skinny. I hope he is 165, bc if he’s that good at that weight he has even more potential.

    • ianb

      I have to agree. Saw him at Shawnigan Lake and he looked small and slender. About five foot eleven, 160-170 pounds top. Reminded me a bit of Mason Raymond with his size and speed

      • ianb

        Ditto. He’s nowhere near 6′ 1″ or 194 pounds.

        Major FAIL for this profile.

        If the author can’t even get a player’s height and weight remotely close to being right, how can his evaluation be taken at all seriously?

        As always, Canucks Army needs to do better when it comes to the most basic research, and maybe even show up to a prospects camp or two, before sagaciously opining on a player’s future prospects.

          • Goon

            What are you talking about? Save your righteous indignation for the stupid trolling or trash talking; someone actually pointing out some serious issues with a blog that purports to give an evidence-based evaluation of the prospect pool. So far this series has been extremely uneven; I hope the addition of a new managing editor will improve quality control. There’s no point in writing a series that simply rehashes the profiles offered in scouting sites; whatever its warts using the PCS model more specifically would be of more use here. I get that sample size is an issue with Jasek but surely there could be enough research done to give us greater insight rather than pure speculation. And getting some of the basics right seems like a given — most sites list him as 165-172, suggesting that he is 194 is a fairly significant mistake if the argument is that he’s going to fill out even more as the very first lines of this profile state.

          • MM08

            You realize you’re the troll yes? As someone else stated above, elite prospects, which is generally a very reliable site for prospects general attributes, had him at 194lbs so to go off of that is not some serious offense you’re making it out to be. Here’s some advice, since you never like the articles on this site, do us all a favour and just not come back.

          • MM08

            Elite prospects is a good site but it clearly made a mistake here, one not made by hockeysfuture, hockeydb, or nhl.com. For the CA writers not to pick up on that is just amateurish, especially if they’re going to make claims about Jasek having the potential to fill out — that’s absolutely true but filling out from 165 (to an adult playing weight of maybe 190) is very different from filling out from 194 (maybe 210) and would indicate very different kinds of players. The difference between a strong playmaker and a power forward is obviously significant.

            I’d also look up what troll means. I do not think that word means what you think it does…

  • ianb

    Could you give some insight into what the actual knocks against him are? Is he seen as a soft or peripheral player? Does he get pushed off the puck often? Is he dependent on PP points? There’s just so little to work on here.

      • Are you suggesting CanucksArmy writers personally go out and weigh prospects?

        Everyone (and I mean *everyone*) in hockey journalism relies on the heights and weights of players reported by teams and by other reliable sources, including Elite Prospects. Sometimes there are errors.

        Pointing out a possible error is helpful. Saying “CanucksArmy is terrible and stupid and I’m never reading it again” because a writer used a listed height that he did not personally verify with a measuring tape and a scale is unbelievably childish.

        • MM08

          I`m saying as a Canuck blog, the reporters should be getting out to prospect and training camps to be able to more accurately report a balanced article. Staying home in Ontario and covering the Canucks is asinine. If you wish to not promote a higher standard, that is your business. I also never mentioned anything about stop reading their articles. On the contrary. I will continue to read them, hopefully enjoy the majority of them and when I feel the need to take them to task, I will.

  • MM08

    This series of profiles of Canuck prospects illustrates the lack of integrity in their reports. None of the reporters took the time to attend camp at Shawnigan Lake. Instead they continue to rely on the goofiness of spread sheet analytics. Had someone gone to camp they would have noticed Lukas was not their stated size. I understand and accept analytics as an integral part of today’s game. When you utilize the eye test and analytics, you have a very complete picture of the prospect. Sadly this blog continues to operate with its head up its arse and comes off as a third rate waste of broadband. I challenge this site to attend camp at Prince George and the Young Guns Tourament. I believe most of us would welcome on site reports for these two important events.

  • MM08

    This is a superficial piece that doesn’t even get basic info correct. The closest thing to analysis is the listing of his stats at the Ivan Hlinka. There is one vague graph that is supposed to explain or reflect the players chances of an NHL career. There isn’t even basic info such as is he a play maker or goal scorer, is he capable defensively, does he shy away from physical play?

    The article says there is lots to like, but doesn’t elaborate further than saying he plays up from his group.

    CanucksArmy should be taken to task for getting basic info such as weight wrong, because it demonstrates a complete lack of knowledge about the player. The people who point out the flaws in the article are right to do so.

    This article offers essentially nothing.

    • MM08

      Hey, take it with a grain of salt. This site is a bunch of kids blogging. They relay decent info and make me laugh when they try and ‘scout’ and ‘analyze’ players. I appreciate info from reliable sources and they often pass that along. They should stop trying to make assessments when they haven’t ever done the job and gone out to see the players extensively. Anyone can take the analytics and ramble on. [Part of comment removed for personal attacks on staff & homophobic implications] Anyway, they could be right but they talk like their word is gospel. Give it a rest.

      Enjoy the site and take what you want from it. It’s all entertainment. 🙂

  • MM08

    These guys are big enough fans to start a canucks blog and nerdy enough to dive into stats for days. Their podcasts are terrible, just so bad. They clearly don’t enjoy leaving the comfort of their own home much let alone attend prospects camps or actually get someone who is attending to contribute.