End Of Year WHL QualComp Estimates


Yesterday, we shared our OHL Quality of Competition and Quality of Teammates estimates for the 2013-2014 season and found that it Canucks prospects tended to face above average competition for their respective teams. Today, we’ll have a look at QoC and QoT estimates for the WHL. Read past the jump for those.

All of the same stuff said yesterday still applies. For a refresher, here’s what I wrote:

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  1. We’ve looked at three QoC/QoT measures here: Time on Ice (TOI), Goals For% (GF%), and a “Composite” measure. The composite measure is simply [TOI * GF%]. The theory behind TOI QoC is that coaches play their best players the most, and the theory behind using GF% or Corsi% or something similar is that the best players perform the best. The composite measure is simply an easy way of combining deployment and performance.
  2. All measures here are estimates. The Canadian Hockey League doesn’t track TOI or shot data, and only the OHL provides us with any sort of special teams data. Time on Ice can be estimated through the following formula: Average TOI per game = Player on-ice goals per game * Team average minutes per goal
  3. Since we know that goal-based data can be noisy and our TOI estimates also rely on goal data, the actual values of the numbers are less important than where a given player ranks relative to his teammates and/or peers. Also, be careful of small samples in terms of games played. Anything under 36 games played (half of one CHL season) is probably a bit sketchy.

The data, in the same format as yesterday (I’ve deleted all the #VALUEs for ease of viewing):

Again, some quick notes:

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  • Hunter Shinkaruk only played 18 games for the Medicine Hat Tigers before going under the knife for season-ending hip surgery. As a result, we can’t really read anything into this season at all.
  • Vancouver’s only other WHL prospect was Anton Cederholm, who played for the Portland Winterhawks. Cederholm was a first-pairing guy that took on Portland’s toughest competition, but spent the vast majority of his season paired with Derrick Pouliot and playing behind Nic Petan and company – an extremely plush assignment.
  • The top draft eligible prospect in TOI QoC is Prince Albert’s Leon Draisaitl. Saskatoon’s Nikita Scherbak also carried the burden for the Blades, basically by himself.
  • Kootenay’s Sam Reinhart faced the toughest competition for the Ice as well.
We hope to have more CHL stuff up soon, so keep an eye out for that.

  • andyg

    Looks like a guy that couldn’t get off the bench for Torts has become a hero in Montreal. Also if Lucic never comes back to Vancouver…,, Great. What a punk and bad sport. He gives the sport a bad name every chance he gets. He deserves Boston and Boston deserves him. Pathetic