It’s been an interesting few years in Vancouver. Once so lacking in prospect depth that Kellen Lain made the top ten of our annual prospect rankings now has more worthwhile prospects than we can fit in piecemeal list.
The key beneficiaries, in a way, were the Canucks Army faithful. Whether they were fringe prospects, a blue chipper or Ludwig Blomstrand, nearly everyone was covered. Some might argue the insight was less valuable, given their insignificant chances of NHL success.
Then again, since when has there ever been any degree of certainty where prospects are concerned? Half the fun is watching the weighted dice roll and feeling relatively informed along the way. And with that, I bring you the honourable mentions from the Vancouver Canucks prospect pool…
Prospects From the USHL
Adam Gaudette, F, 5th Round 149th Overall, 2015 Draft, Cedar Rapids Roughriders
Gaudette isn’t the flashiest of prospects and his selection left much to be desired, given some of the considerably better options available. Using PCS, Gaudette is hovering beneath a 2% chance of NHL success based on comparable peers. That said, it’s entirely possible that PCS is underrating Gaudette, given that the USHL is just now starting to move forward in terms of player development and NHL success.
The USHL can be a very insular league, making it very difficult to get commentary on some of the lower profile prospects. That said, I’ve pulled snippets from scouting reports and commentary from the interweb, to get a better idea of the type of player Vancouver inherited.
“His upside is very high. Once he adds more muscle to his frame, he’ll be able to get to the net more and win more puck battles,”“His +/- was exceptional. He was dependable. His hockey sense is very good at both ends of the rink,” said Carlson, who also raved about his exceptional work ethic. “He just gets after it.”
An intense, hard-working forward who shows a lot of character in not backing down under adversity. A mobile and edgy skater, but needs to improve his explosiveness with the puck. Makes smart plays under pressure, never wanting to make a mistake; sometimes a bit too careful, holding onto dead plays, but this is not a problem that will be hard to curb. Likes to go hard to the nets. Needs to get stronger and more physically astute along the boards. Never backs down and never gives up; he thrives under adversity and pressure, and finds ways to come up big in the game’s critical moments. All-in-all, a forceful two-way forward that can be counted on for stability and energy when his team is lacking the spirit to surge forward.
Prospects From the CHL
Carl Neill, D, 5th Round 144th Overall, 2015 Draft, Sherbrooke Phoenix
As an overage defender with rather pedestrian counting numbers, Carl Neill didn’t overwhelm at first glance. The deeper I dug with this prospect, though, the more impressed I became. Firstly, his delta score using our proprietary euclidean draft tool indicates the Canucks doubled their expected value with this selection – I’m talking of course about PCS (Prospect Cohort Success).
When scouring www.CHLStats.com, I also found that Neill contributed to seventh-highest percentile of team points in the QMJHL. Quantitative data can only go so far though, so I reached out to Jerome Berube of www.HockeyProspect.com…
[Neill] was a different player last year. big kid with a big shot from the point. [Neill] moves the puck pretty good, has the size to be a physical d-men but lacks consistency. Skating and footwork still need work as well. same goes for his defensive game. he was named captain of Sherbrooke after last season. play 1st PP with Sharks (2nd rounder) Jeremy Roy.
And Berube had this to add on why Neill was glossed over in his draft campaign…
Neil went undrafted in 2014 because of poor conditioning. [Neill] admitted himself, it was a wake up call. [Neill] also needed a minor heart surgery a year ago, that forced him to miss the Calgary Flames rookie camp.
Kyle Pettit, F, 6th Round 156th Overall, 2014 Draft, Erie Otters
In the 120 OHL games which Pettit played in prior to his selection in the 2014 NHL Entry Draft, he amassed a total of 16 points. Given some of the higher end, more offensively inclined talent available on the board (like Spencer Watson, grumble grumble) this selection was perhaps a tad on the underwhelming side of the ledger. Although, in Benning’s defense, the pick measures as marginal positive in terms of its delta score using PCS (Prospect Cohort Success).
In his draft+1 campaign he tallied more points than the prior two combined, playing primarily on the Erie Otters third line. Pettit also showed strongly in the OHL coaches polling, which placed him second as the most under-rated forward, first in the face-off circle and third for best defensive forward.
I reached out to Brock Otten of www.OHLProspects.Blogspot.ca for further commentary and he didn’t disappoint…
Moving forward it remains to be seen how much offensive potential he has. [Pettit’s] skating and ability to carry the puck needs to improve if he wants to be more of a factor off the rush and I’d still like to see him use his size even more (adding a physical element to his game), especially in driving the net and maintaining positioning as a force near the crease.This coming year, the Otters could do a couple of different things with Pettit, depending on how much development he shows to start the year. If [Pettit] looks good, they could play him on the wing on a scoring line and ask him to clear space for the likes of Strome, Raddysh, Debrincat, etc. Or he could play as the 3rd line center (behind Strome and Jake Marchment). That said, there’s also a chance Marchment or Strome don’t return and Pettit gets to stay down the middle on a scoring line (seems very unlikely to me). Either way, I’d be very surprised if he’s not at least utilized on the 2nd power play unit as a net presence.
Ashton Sautner, D, UDFA, Edmonton Oil Kings
A free agent signing towards the end of last season, Sautner presents an intriguing gamble on the blue line. Passed up in consecutive drafts due in large to pedestrian counting numbers, it wasn’t until his over-age, 20 year old campaign where his offense began to round into form – 51 points in 71 games.
Former Canucks Army overlord, Rhys Jessop, had this to say on Sautner when he signed with Vancouver this season…
We know that over-age players don’t usually stand a good chance of ever making an NHL impact, but defensemen are notoriously hard to project. Sautner has been an extremely effective player on a puck possession juggernaut the last couple of seasons to his credit, and is an interesting gamble for GM Jim Benning to make.
I reached out to Zenon Herasymiuk of Future Considerations for further insight…
Ashton Sautner has been a consistently solid defenseman for the Edmonton Oil Kings over the last couple of seasons which included a few long playoff runs at the Memorial Cup. As a younger dman in the league he was a good decision-maker in his own zone, boxing out the middle of the ice using good angles while showing some glimpses of transitional intelligence. As a 19 and 20 year-old he took major strides forward in his puck confidence and high traffic distributing skills, making him a prominent player in all areas of the ice. Sautner has two-way potential moving forward as a solid, three zone defenseman that can log big minutes and play any situation. He’ll have to take some major steps forward to become an NHL-calibre defenseman, but he has the foundations to start that climb in the AHL next season.
MacKenze Stewart, Thing, 7th Round 186th Overall, 2014 Draft, Prince Albert Raiders
The pick Vancouver used for Stewart could have been spent on any other player at the draft and I think I might have left happier. The Canucks would have likely left with a better prospect as well. Most scouts were surprised to see him drafted at all and with good reason. He’d just finished his first full season in the WHL and amassed 9 points in the process.
Here’s Herasymiuk’s take on Stewart…
MacKenze Stewart came out of nowhere to be drafted in 2014 and has signed a contract with the Canucks. The hulking defenseman played consistent defensive minutes for the Raiders last season, showing some improvements to his footwork and puck play, although both attributes remain very far from anything close to NHL-ready. Stewart has shown very little offensive upside over the course of his WHL career. His size and toughness are the two attributes that the Canucks hope will translate to success on the wing as they try to convert Stewart into a forward. I’m still surprised he was drafted, and even more surprised he was signed.
Tate Olson, D, 7th Round 210th Overall, 2015 Draft, Prince George Cougars
As with most fringe draft eligible players, I can’t say I had a wealth of knowledge on Olson when the Canucks selected him with 210th selection in the 2015 Draft. The more I looked into him as a prospect, though, it seemed as though the Canucks did well for themselves in that spot. He’s considered to be a mobile and solid, if unspectacular, two-way defender.
For a more in depth look, here’s Herasymiuk again…
Tate Olson was one of my favorite sleepers for the 2015 NHL Draft. He doesn’t have any standout qualities, but he has shown very good progression as a defense-first blueliner with the confidence and swagger to pitch in with the occasional offensive burst. He is far from a sure thing, but Olson has projectable size, improving puck skills, and a fearless, competitive attitude to defending which makes him difficult to play against. On an improving Prince George Cougars team he will have ample opportunity to showcase and refine all aspects of his game. As he fills out his raw frame and continues to take strides forward in terms of his skill development, he could provide the Canucks with great late-round value.
Anton Cederholm, D, 5th Round 145th Overall, 2013 Draft, Portland Winterhawks
Frankly, I haven’t followed Cederholm as closely as I should have since his joining the Canucks organization two seasons ago. At a glance, I’ve nothing in the way of qualms with his selection where he was taken. Based on his (brief) experience playing among men in the SHL and high leverage deployments in the WHL, there might be something there. His counting numbers leave a lot to be desired and there are concerns about his mobility abound.
To try and get a more expansive outlook on Cederholm and his development, I reached out to Andy Levangie of McKeensHockey.com for his insight…
A big defensive defenseman with limited offensive upside and a bit of nasty streak. High level of compete in one on one battles, with a fearless approach to defending, doesn’t make anything easy on his opponents. Good use of his stick when breaking up plays, aided by a long reach and ability to track pucks oppositions movements. Not overly explosive or quick but sound positioning keeps him from being exploited, pivots are quicker than expected for a big rangy d-man. Wont expect much offence from the big swede as his shot and puck moving abilities are limited. Possesses the strength for higher levels of hockey and has the tools to one day fill a responsible depth role at the pro level. Likely to land in the AHL for a few years before seeing a shot at the NHL, slow and steady development is the recipe for his possible success
Prospects From the NCAA
Joseph Labate, F, 4th Round 101st Overall, 2011 Draft, University of Wisconsin
For the second consecutive season Labate’s stock has dropped in our annual organizational prospect rankings. As a matter of fact, he was only ranked by Thomas Drance, who had him 20th overall. Labate has failed to take that next stop forward in his development, producing at an unspectacular clip. Still, the tools are all there and his imposing size (6 foot 4) make him a tantalizing prospect all the same.
Mike Williamson, D, 6th Round 175th Overall, 2013 Draft, Pennsylvania State University
Williamson offers size from the blue line and lots of it, standing at 6’3. Beyond that though, not an awful lot. Williamson hasn’t been overly productive at any level and his scouting reports don’t seem to suggest there’s much, if any, offensive upside there. Considered by Hockeys Future to be Vancouver’s second worst defense prospect.
Prospects From the ECHL
Curtis Valk, F, UDFA, Kalamazoo Wings
An undersized, undrafted free agent, Valk’s star has gradually risen in his two years within the Canucks organization. Originally invited to a training camp invite prior to the 2013-14 season, Valk has plied his trade in the ECHL over the last two seasons to relative success. It’s becoming increasingly unlikely that Valk – no relation to Gary – will crack the NHL, but he could have a very successful career in the AHL all the same. There’s value in that.
For further insight I reached out to friend of the Army, Sarah Hobday, who follows the Wings…
Valk had a very impressive season in Kalamazoo. Developed instant chemistry with Ludwig Blomstrand and Dane Fox on a scoring. Despite his size, Valk can be quite feisty and never shies from the oppositions net. If not for a season ending knee injury in January, it’s highly likely that Valk would have finished the season leading the Wings in scoring.
Dane Fox, F, UDFA, Kalamazoo Wings
There are few prospects as hard to get a read on as Fox. His first few years in the OHL weren’t exactly the greatest, but he was still expected to be a third round pick in his first draft eligible campaign. Due to character and health concerns, he fell from consecutive drafts entirely. Eventually, during an insanely productive 64 goal 2013-14 season, the Canucks signed him to an entry-level contract.
Here’s Sarah Hobday’s valuable insight on Fox’s first professional campaign…
Fox struggled from the onset of his professional career to earn the coaches trust and subsequent ice-time. Improvement in his work ethic and play earned him a spot on the first line, where he enjoyed great success. Put in considerable work to improve upon his skating this season and took major steps forward in that regard. Is a well disciplined player. Uses his size especially well when boxing out defenders in front of the opposing goaltender. Rose to the occasion of the playoffs and displayed a real intensity.
Ludwig Blomstrand, F, 4th Round 120th Overall, 2011 Draft, Kalamazoo Wings
A favourite of the readers at Canucks Army, Blomstrand has continued to gradually raise his stock within the Canucks organization. Last season with the Wings was another positive step forward for Blomstrand as he stepped into a first line role and showed relatively well by counting numbers. At this stage, I think reasonable expectations for Blomstrand are that he might develop into a solid complimentary piece in the AHL. Then again, prospects are fickle as it gets.
Here’s Hobday, again, with more great insight…
Blomstrand built on a strong 2013-14 season, further improving his two-way game and developing into one of the clubs better skaters. Is a strong physical player who reaches well above his weight class. Can be an absolute joy to watch, with his combination of raw physical tools and more refined two-way game. His shot is second-to-none on the Wings, as is his conditioning. Quickly becoming a fan favourite.
Joe Cannata, G, 6th Round 173rd Overall, 2009 Draft, Ontario Reign
For the second consecutive year, Cannata has fallen from the top 20 in our organizational prospect rankings. Given that Cannata’s 25 years old, has struggled to establish himself at the AHL level and stepping into this season as a backup in the AHL, it’s entirely fair. Hasn’t taken that next step and I’d say he’s exiting the realm of prospect territory, if we’re being entirely honest.
But for further insight, I reached out to friend of the Army and President of the Cannata Fan Club, Catherine Silverman for her take. She went above and beyond the call, as always…
Joe Cannata has been a pain in the ass of teams across North America since his time in the NCAA, and that’s not likely to change as he moves to the AHL on a more permanent basis in 2015-2016. Whether standing behind an adequate defense not, the former sixth round draft pick – who went 3-2-0 in five AHL games last season and posted a .932 SV% in the process – plays in net with all the confidence of someone you’d expect to ultimately succeed at the NHL level. He’s been largely overlooked in the wake of Vancouver’s never-ending goalie controversy, but he may be the biggest sleeper among their prospects next year.The 25 year old netminder out of Wakefield, Massachusetts stands at 6 foot 1 and 200 lbs — but his biggest asset, despite being on the smaller side among goaltenders in the current NHL era, is his sense of calm in net. You don’t often see the former Merrimack netminder come out too far or overcompensate, instead playing with a pretty neutral and relatively deep positioning. His speed isn’t an asset that necessarily gets talked about, but – like nearly aspect of his game – there’s certainly no red flag in that area.Cannata plays a position-based style game that capitalizes on well-timed rebounds (which Cannata has improved upon over time, sending his rebounds to the corners instead of ahead onto the stick of his opponents) and a willingness to stop play with a smothered puck or glove save. In a league where preventing goals can sometimes overshadow actually making saves, Cannata excels at both.Cannata saw himself slip down Vancouver’s depth chart as a byproduct of the team’s goaltending dramas, with Joacim Ericsson, Eddie Lack, and Jacob Markstrom all getting AHL ice time over him and causing fans to believe the team was no longer high on the former NCAA star. This year, though, neither of them will stand in his way of taking a starting role in Utica (which he should split with Richard Bachman), and good enough AHL play could even see him get a look at the NHL level in the event of an injury or more struggles from Markstrom.His biggest weakness is still playing the puck, but I’ve never been high on particularly aggressive goaltenders from a technique-based standpoint so this isn’t necessarily something to be concerned about. His goaltending coach back home is Brian Daccord (whose son Joey, an ASU commit for 2016-2017, was drafted by the Ottawa Senators this summer), who Canucks fans may remember as Schneider’s coach as well. He may have slipped out of the top prospect rankings, but there’s no reason not to still fall in love with his game.
Prospects From the AHL
Mike Zalewski and Alex Friesen, F, Utica Comets
Given that neither of these two were high profile players at the time of their joining the Vancouver Canucks organization, it would be wholly disingenuous to split their evaluations as though I had anything substantial to offer. This doesn’t necessarily speak to their worth as prospects though; more so where my knowledge of them has lied over the last three or so years.
In fact, Zalewski’s last season has him at a 15% PCS score (Prospect Cohort Success) which isn’t half bad, all things considered. His partner in this evaluation, Friesen, offers similar upside at a roughly 14% PCS score. Given my shallow knowledge base with which to draw on, I figured I would reach out elsewhere.
I corresponded with John Pitarressi, of the Utica Dispatch, to hear his thoughts…
I have no idea what Friesen and Zalewski are capable of at the next level. Both are more than competent players at the AHL level. Friesen has a lot of pluses – the biggest being he is just a very smart hockey player. He does everything well. Nose for the net, physical, very good positioning, very good defensively, useful on PK. His size doesn’t hurt him on the ice, but I think it might cause second thoughts on the part of some GMs and coaches. But he doesn’t play small.Zalewski took a while to get going and to adjust to the speed of the pro game. Improved dramatically over the season, and became a defensive ace, usually skating with Gaunce and Hamilton. That was an impressive line. Pretty decent on faceoffs. Somehow couldn’t score much, although he created opportunities. Travis Green trusted him on the PK at times, so that says something. He is a big, strong kid and still learning. Plays with an edge. So does Friesen, I guess.Can these guys be successful in the NHL? I have no idea. I’m quite sure they can be very solid if not star players in the AHL and certainly can push younger guys and help them learn.