Somehow, Schneider
By Cam Charron
12 years agoI was going to write a pretty long post today about Cory Schneider’s regression to the mean. I think he’s been pretty lax on a couple of straight starts and hasn’t looked like he’s been pulling his weight as much as he did during that stretch at the end of November and his numbers are finally returning to his career average.
So I looked into it, under the assumption that Schneider hadn’t put up a quality start in three starts. For those who are unawares still, a quality start is a Hockey Prospectus statistic that counts whether or not a goaltender played well enough to allow his team to win: to earn a quality start, a goalie must stop 91.3% of shots in a single game, or stop 88.5% of shots while allowing two or fewer.
Turns out, despite my observations, that Schneider put up quality starts against both Anaheim and Boston, and although he definitely didn’t get one last night in Tampa Bay, he also didn’t get “blown up” as was my initial concern. A goalie gets blown up when he fails to stop 85% of shots or surrenders 5 goals in a game on fewer than 40 shots.
Here’s a rundown of all of Schneider’s appearances this season:
Game | Result | EV SV% |
Columbus | Quality Start | 0.882 |
Detroit | Quality Start | 0.905 |
Minnesota | Quality Start | 0.898 |
Edmonton (Relief) | N/A | 0.909 |
St. Louis | 0.903 | |
Minnesota | 0.891 | |
Anaheim (Relief) | N/A | 0.891 |
Chicago | Blown Up | 0.888 |
Ottawa | Quality Start | 0.898 |
Colorado | Quality Start | 0.908 |
Phoenix | Quality Start | 0.916 |
San Jose | Quality Start | 0.919 |
Columbus | Quality Start | 0.930 |
Nashville (Pulled) | Blown Up | 0.927 |
Colorado (Relief) | N/A | 0.929 |
Carolina | 0.926 | |
Anaheim | Quality Start | 0.925 |
Boston | Quality Start | 0.925 |
Tampa Bay | 0.920 | |
EV SV% | QS Rate | |
Before ’11/12 | 0.923 | 62.0% |
11/12 Season | 0.920 | 62.5% |
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