Overfitting, trends, and small samples

Cam Charron
December 02 2013 01:30PM


The Canucks have not won a game where Kevin Bieksa has scored a goal.

For those of you that followed a certain conversation on Twitter yesterday...

I'm a little annoyed at the focus on "The Canucks are X-0-Z when they've scored a amount of goals, but are 0-Y-Z when they've scored b amount of goals or fewer." You know the one. The problem is that people attribute this to a flaw in the way the team plays games, rather than a simple sampling error.

There are a lot of reasons why records are where they are, and when you're a third of the way through the season, some scenarios haven't presented themselves. It's rare that a team will win a game 1-0 and 2-1, and given the rarity of those events, should it really concern us that the Canucks have not won a game yet by that margin?

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NATION HOODIES ARE BACK

Nation World HQ
December 02 2013 12:10PM

 

Just in time for Christmas - our supplier assures us they will ship in time - we have re-released OilersNation hoodies and introduced CanucksArmy and TheLeafsNation hoodies for the sexy hockey fan on Santa's list this year.

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The Sea-to-Sky Boner Report: Dec 2nd 2013

Rhys Jessop
December 02 2013 11:28AM

Carter Popoff leads a resurgent Giants team in scoring.
Carter Popoff leads a resurgent Giants team in scoring.

After a week long hiatus, the Sea-to-Sky Boner Report is back!

Since we last left them, things have been going well for the Giants. They haven't lost a game in regulation since November 9th, and that was against the powerhouse Edmonton Oil Kings. They're 5-1-3-1 in their past 10 games, and now sit 4 points up on the 9th place Prince George Cougars for the final playoff spot in the WHL's Western conference. They took 3 of 4 points this past weekend from the Cougars too, and with two games in hand look to be solidifying their grip on a playoff spot.

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Narratives, Damned Narratives and Statistical Anomalies

Graphic Comments
December 02 2013 10:11AM

Never let stats get in the way of a good story.

Talking heads on TV sports panels have never met a statistical anomaly they didn't like. No matter how meaningless. No matter how lacking in context. No matter how irrelevant.

No. The only thing that matters is whether they contribute to a narrative, or tell a story.

Well, there they were on December 1 and the Canucks sat three points out of a playoff spot.

PANIC!!!

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Canucks Army Postgame: Rock You Like a Hurricane

Rhys Jessop
December 01 2013 04:44PM

Well after that dog's breakfast of a game in New York yesterday, we can probably forgive Canucks fans that decided to say "to hell with this", and do something more productive with their Sunday morning than watch Vancouver play a second consecutive morning game against a bottom-feeder in the worst division in the NHL. And let's be honest, anyone who missed this game missed essentially nothing. Aside from a bizarre sequence in the 2nd when 3 goals were scored in 37 seconds, it wasn't a very eventful game.

So if you're just waking up now, and it's 4 in the afternoon, you can be thankful that your friends at Canucks Army appreciate you so much that we watched the spreadsheets entire game and put this handy recap together just for you. Now read the damn thing so our work doesn't go to waste.

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