November 06 2012 07:55AM
In his book The Signal and the Noise, author and statistician Nate Silver, who you've surely heard about the last couple of weeks, advises humans to become "less and less wrong" when making predictions. We need to gather as much information as possible to make consistently good forecasts, but, as importantly, Silver suggests that "you can benefit from applying multiple perspectives toward a problem".
A lot of the book deals with consensus and aggregation, and the way that market necessities aid humans in working together to solve problems. I thought it was interesting when, earlier this summer, a writer at Puck Prospectus named Rob Vollman, sent out a list of all the summer unrestricted free agent signings and simply asked a handful of statistical analysts to rate the signings.
November 05 2012 01:19PM
For a Stanley Cup starved fanbase that roots for an aging team, a team has come oh so painfully close without raising the ultimate mug, the "championship window" is a constant source of argument and scrutiny. I'd argue that not since the Hussites of the 14-hundreds, or more recently Bill Gates, has a single person or group of people ever been so preoccupied with "windows" in the history of human kind.
The most often cited reason for the Canucks' finite championship window is the age of the Sedin twins. The Sedins turned thirty-two in September (on the same day, if you can believe it!) and the list of players who've produced 100 point seasons after the age of 32 is very short indeed.
Some folks, even some folks who write at this blog, have looked at the twins' decline in production last season and have become convinced that the Sedin twins have begun to submit to the power of father time. But looking over the data from the past five seasons, I see little evidence that the Sedin twins have "lost a step" or that last season's slip in production represents the beginning of a downward trend in their NHL careers.
I'll explain myself at length after the jump.
November 05 2012 11:49AM
(Photo: Chris Jerina/ AHL in Photos)
The Chicago Wolves, mostly high-flying of late, produced their weakest effort of the season Sunday in North Carolina, going down to the home-town Checkers 4-1.
The Checkers are far and away the best team in the AHL right now, and play the game the way the Wolves would like to play, lots of speed and skill, led by the likes of Brett Sutter, Drayson Bowman and Justin Faulk. The big club in Raleigh must be pleased with what they are seeing from their kids so far this season.
Comments, a couple videos and some stats after the jump.
November 04 2012 06:28PM
Look at that picture. Just look at it. That's really all you need to know. "There's no hitting in the KHL." Phooey! Also we have the KHL's Top 10 goals, saves, and hits of the week.
November 04 2012 09:15AM
Photo: S.Yume/CC BY 2.0/Wikimedia
After the jump: 20-ish articles covering a range of subjects. Which player overseas has had the most impressive performance so far? Why is the CHLPA imploding? Who were the best free agent signings of the last CBA? Zack Kassian or Cody Hodgson? Perhaps most importantly: who is Roberto Luongo mocking with his new Twitter avater?