The NHL Draft: Maybe Size Does Matter

money puck
January 22 2015 11:30AM

Based on his 6'3 frame and elite scoring rate, Dylan Strome is a virtual lock to be a future NHLer.

Frequent readers of CanucksArmy will know that one of the shared passions that authors on our site have is trying to find a way to improve the Canucks drafting, which has historically been abysmal

Much of the discussion from the fancy stats crowd when it comes to draft evaluation has centered around picking the player with higher point totals in junior, as we have found there to be a strong correlation between a prospect’s draft-year points-per-game, and NHL games player (pearson’s r =.41 indicating strong positive relationship), which tends to be a moderately better indicator of future NHL success than NHL's Central Scouting final rankings.

Other than the statistical argument, the holistic argument for this is compelling: in order for a prospect to succeed at the NHL level they should not just be good junior players, they should dominate at the junior level.

Critics of this school of thought have always had one major concern: scoring against kids in junior doesn't mean it will translate to scoring against men in the NHL. You need to be bigger, faster, and stronger to make it in the big league. This is why many, including scouts, tend to gravitate towards bigger players, whose stats may not sparkle as much as their smaller peers.

This sentiment has been scoffed at by the analytics types (myself included) who tend to rally around the prospects with the gaudy numbers, over the big “meat and potatoes” types. But is there something to this school of thought that bigger is better?

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The Hockey Graphs Podcast - Episode 2

That's Offside!
January 21 2015 10:00AM

Hockey Graphs Podcast

Garret and Rhys are back talking hockey this week, taking a look at NHL Central Scouting's midterm prospect rankings, why goons are valuable, why the Leafs should trade Phil Kessel, and how to revitalize the All-Star game, all while Rhys writes love letters to Mark Fistric. Click past the jump to listen!

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Canucks Army Prospect Report – January 21th, 2015

Josh W
January 21 2015 09:00AM

Welcome back to another edition of our weekly Canucks Army Prospect Report.  Most prospects are in action with a few players sitting on the side due to injuries.  We have all the latest news and stats for our prospects so without wasting any more time, continue past the jump to get all the details!

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Canucks Army Postgame - Thunderstuck

Josh W
January 20 2015 09:05PM

The Canucks traveled down to Tampa Bay for the last game of their road trip to face a surging Tampa Bay Lightning team.  As Rhys wrote about in the Game Day Thread, the Bolts are stocked full of offensively gifted talents and look to be good for a long time in the future, as well as this year.  This game was no easy task for the Canucks and it showed up on the ice, in their underlying numbers, and in their results. 

As the Canucks played last night against the other Florida team and were starting with Ryan Miller in net again, the game didn't start off in their favour.  Because of their lack of rest we can be like certain ex-Oiler bloggers and chalk this one up to a "schedule loss" however.

Continue past the jump for analysis of this game!

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Canucks Army GDT #45 - Canucks @ Lightning

That's Offside!
January 20 2015 12:17PM

Less than 24 hours after disposing of the Florida Panthers, the Canucks remain in the south to do battle with the other, shinier Florida team: the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Bolts are in contention for the President's Trophy this season, and look to be a legitimate contender in the East, and they're also close to unbeatable on home ice. It'll be a tough test for a Canucks team looking to win their fourth straight game and their second in as many nights.

Read past the jump for a preview.

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