October 23 2012 11:10AM
The point projections you find in hockey magazines are based on the intuitive guesses of analysts who follow the teams closely, and can therefore occasionally be skewed by personal biases or wishful thinking. That's why it's best to supplement (not replace) them with purely statistically-based projections.
For the third season in a row over at the Flamesnation sister site we're using the two most popular statistical projection systems, Tom Awad's VUKOTA and my own Snepsts67, to anchor our expectations. The former is more established and has the advantage of also estimating games played while the latter defines lower and upper ranges, and finds good historical examples within.<
October 23 2012 09:06AM
An uncomfortable truth is that the Vancouver Canucks will probably need to shed a little over $6M worth of salary coming out of the lockout to account for a lower salary cap.
However, this does present an opportunity. While trading Roberto Luongo frees up some space, it's still probably not enough to bridge the gap unless the NHL permits teams amnesty with the new agreement (I'm optimistic that a deal will be done in the next month).
The pending Luongo trade has had the most digital ink spilled over it, but there's another Canuck who makes a lot of money and whose role has diminished in Vancouver. He also still probably has some value elsewhere. That would be Keith Ballard.
October 22 2012 11:04PM
Lots of KHL goodness today. Malkin puts up 4 points and helps Nikolai Kulemin get two of his own, Ovechkin scores and helps Nicklas Backstrom get his first KHL point, and he gets a little punchy, too.
October 22 2012 03:41PM
Zack Kassian impressed in Abbotsford this past weekend.
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Strombabble: Could the NHL's Proposed Back-Diving Deals Provision Actually Benefit the Canucks in a Luongo Trade?
October 22 2012 12:51PM
I like to imagine that Luongo is looking at me scornfully, and thinking...
"Really man, you're going to write another speculative post about my trade status?"
Last week, while writing about the NHL's proposed penalty on teams who signed star players to cap-circumventing "back-diving contracts", I wrote that the so called "Kovy Klause" would "hardly impact the arithmetic of a potential Luongo trade" for the Canucks.
Maybe I didn't go far enough in that analysis because in the return of Elliotte Friedman's Thirty Thoughts column on Monday, the Hockey Night in Canada reporter took this logic one step further. Is it possible that, in fact, Mike Gillis and the Canucks could benefit from the insertion of the punitive clause in the next NHL collective bargaining agreement (CBA)?
Read on past the jump.