Establishing AHL Baselines for Prospect Success

Josh W
July 24 2015 09:37AM

Nearly every hockey fan has the basic understanding that the NHL is the best hockey league in the world and that to become an regular player in the league you need to be the best of the best. Combining this with the piling of recent evidence suggesting that the peak age of players is around the mid-20s, it starts to become apparent that fans in every fan base tend to be over-confident in the success of their AHL (and other) prospects.

It is important when studying prospects, and when wanting to increase the general understanding of the league, to establish a baseline of success for those in development leagues.  

Continue past the jump as we look into AHL success.

Read Article | 2 Comments

Utica Comets Deep Dive: Calder Cup Finals

Josh W
July 23 2015 11:00AM

CHbMb9UUsAA_prX.jpg_large

Image Courtesy: @NBCSports

Nearly a month ago we previewed what to expect during the AHL Calder Cup final between the Utica Comets and the Manchester Monarchs.  This was the 3rd time in Canucks franchise history that their AHL farm team went to the AHL finals and much like the parent club, it has yet to win.

Before the finals, the Comets had been a good possession team, backed by good goaltending with below average offence.  In our preview, we noted that the Manchester Monarchs were the one team the Comets wished to avoid given that they have been more dominant in nearly all measurable facets of the game.  

Since that preview and the series, CanucksArmy has been over-taken by events surrounding the draft, trades, and free agency.  It’s too bad that the AHL final was inexplicably cancelled at the last minute for no reason, so here’s our deep dive of what likely would have happened.  

Read Article | 4 Comments

When Will Brock Boeser Sign with the Canucks?

Josh W
July 17 2015 12:24PM

If you are paying attention to the news around the hockey world this summer, you know that 2015 NHL draft picks (primarily first rounders) are being signed in droves over the past few weeks. One player that hasn't signed is 

Vancouver Canucks prospect Brock Boeser, a forward drafted in the first-round out of the USHL who is committed to the University of North Dakota.

NCAA athletes take a slightly-different development path in sports, since the NCAA has strict rules on who is and is not an amateur athlete while leagues do their best to continue to allow their prospects maintain the eligible status.

With that it leaves us to wonder when will the Canucks will sign Brock Boeser to an entry-level contract?

Read Article | 13 Comments

Waiver Exemption Primer and 2015-2016 Canucks Prospects

Josh W
July 16 2015 12:39PM

In hockey there are many forms of waivers - unconditional waivers, fans who participate in the wave at games and so on - but the key waivers are used when a team sends a more veteran player down to the minor leagues.  These waivers prevent teams from hoarding talent and gives more veteran players that aren't being used by their current team an opportunity to carve out an everyday job elsewhere in the league.

Normally prospects, for their first few years, are exempted from waivers, but as the player becomes older, usually right before they are ready for full time NHL jobs, they are required to pass through waivers should they be deemed unable to hold a position in the NHL (yet).


There are a few Canucks prospects who have been discussed in terms of their ability to earn an NHL job this year. Let’s dive deeper into their status to figure out their waiver-status. 

Read Article | 13 Comments

Talent Left on the 2015 Draft Floor

Josh W
July 14 2015 02:02PM

Every year at the NHL Entry Draft a number of teams make really smart decisions on their picks (Islanders, Jets) while other teams seem to fall on their face (Bruins).  At the end of the 210 picks, inevitably there are players every year who are not chosen despite showing potential to be better than average picks.  This makes these players currently Unrestricted Free Agents and available to be signed to contracts by teams who feels they have potential.  

Looking back at the 2014 NHL Entry Draft, MoneyPuck used PCS to look back at those players who had a high chance of success at the NHL level.  (Un)surprisingly many were invited to teams camps and many went on to become important players on their teams, invited to World Juniors, and some were even signed to NHL teams.

With a current baseline of 8% of forwards and 5.6% of defencemen drafted move on to become NHL regulars, we can use PCS to look back at the 2015 draft and see players who should be invited to camps and are good bets to spend an ELC on.

Read Article | 15 Comments