Rolling the Dice: A Look at Vancouver's Luck Through 41 Games

Josh W
January 28 2015 01:00PM

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Courtesy: TheGlobeAndMail.com

With the Canucks having played their 46th game last night, we are over halfway through the NHL season and approaching the home stretch.  Since 41 games is a good benchmark, we can use this point to analyze how Vancouver has been playing and what specific things have been going their favour, and what's been going against them.

One thing that we cannot predict in hockey is luck.  Luck plays such a large role in determining the outcome of games to the point that the NHL is identical to a league where only 28% of the games are determined by the better team winning and the remaining 72% of games are a coin-flip.  This should come as no surprise, otherwise you would see teams like Buffalo win-less and the Chicago Blackhawks and Los Angeles Kings of the world virtually undefeated.

But what is luck?  People tend to think of it as a vague, undefined, superstitious entity, but rather "luck" is everything that is outside of a players' control.  Things like injuries, being subjected to variances in shooting percentages, or referees making bad or ill-timed calls are all included in "luck."  

Continue past the jump to see how luck has been helping the Canucks this season.

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Canucks Army Prospect Report – January 28th, 2014

Josh W
January 28 2015 09:30AM

Welcome back to another week where we review the progress of all of Vancouver's prospects.  It's been a fairly busy week for the CHL prospects as they have been playing every other day while the better prospects continue to produce.  In other leagues the injury bug is starting to hit as players are no starting to miss games. 

Read past the jump for all your news and prospects stats.

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Size Does Matter: Defencemen

Josh W
January 27 2015 09:30AM

In MoneyPuck’s most recent article, he analyzed the NHL success rate of CHL forwards based on their size and point production .  We know that offensive production is not the single determining factor as to whether an NHL player is good from an analytics perspective, but MoneyPuck demonstrated that point production in the CHL is a good indicator of NHL success.  Similarly, a player who is taller than average also increases their chances of success.  If you combine both factors positively in a young CHL forward, their chance of success rises greatly.

In our previous experiment, we split forward and defencemen data, as they are two different types of players and their success rates are different.  In this article, I will continue where MoneyPuck left off to present you the success rates for CHL defencemen, broken down by their height and CHL scoring rate. 

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Comets Militia: Down on the Farm – January 23rd, 2015

Josh W
January 23 2015 09:30AM

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Courtesy: UticaComets.com

Welcome back to the weekly Utica Comets report, where we cover all of the latest activities of the Vancouver Canucks farm team the Utica Comets.  The Comets have had a lighter week with only two games on the schedule, and were only able to return to the Aud with a total of 1 of 4 points.  With both the NHL All-Star break and the AHL All-Star break soon beginning, the Comets look to have a short rest while Jacob Markstrom, Cal O'Reilly and Bobby Sanguinetti are in the AHL All-Star starting line up.

Read past the jump for all of your Utica Comets stats and information.

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11 Reasons Why Your Favourite Team Should Draft Lawson Crouse

Josh W
January 22 2015 04:00PM

We know that most NHL teams aren't going to have a chance to win the Stanley Cup this year; 22 will either be eliminated in the first round, or not make the playoffs at all.  This means that your favourite hockey team is most likely going to have a 1st round draft pick in the top-20 picks.  

With that being said, unlike both MoneyPuck and Rhys on this blog, I do not have a negative view of life and I have identified the perfect pick for not only the Canucks, but for any other of your favourite teams: Lawson Crouse.  Crouse is the ideal meat and potatoes type of player than every NHL team desperately needs for the future success of their franchise and with a little luck and those statsmilts getting their way, he could slip far enough in the draft for your favourite team to grab him!

Here are 11 reasons why your favourite hockey team should draft Lawson Crouse over any other of those short, soft Euros and French Canadians available. Read past the jump!

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