Canucks Army Monday Mailbag: November 7th

Jeremy Davis
November 07 2016 01:00PM


It has been 18 days since the Canucks last victory and things are looking bleak. The Canucks have no top pairing on defence, and their emotional leader, Jannik Hansen (seriously), is the latest Canuck to hit the IR.

On the bright side, I'm back on twitter! And today I'm answering questions as a guest host of the Monday Mailbag. Nice!

Let's get into it.

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Beware of What Zone Starts are Telling You, Part II: Shot Metrics

Jeremy Davis
November 04 2016 06:03PM

In Part I of this series on zone starts, we discussed how coaches' are limited in their ability to completely control line deployment, particularly when we talking about only offensive and defensive zone shift starts (which make up a very small portion of all shift starts), as well as why the difference between zone starts and shift starts further muddies the relation between metrics like ZSR or OZS% and the actual intention of the coaches.

I hinted at the end that while starting in a specific zone has a large effect on the shot metrics for that particular shift, the overall effect of zone starts on measures like Corsi and Fenwick is actually quite small. In Part II of this series, we'll explore why that is the case, and discuss how metrics that adjust for zone starts function.

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Canucks Recall Troy Stecher, Again

Jeremy Davis
November 04 2016 02:41PM

Stecher shutting down McDavid, just like Cole Cassels used to do

The Canucks have announced that they have recalled Troy Stecher from the Utica Comets for the second time in a week and a half. Fear not! The dark days of a Stecher-less roster are at an end!

The call up is pretty clearly in response to injuries to the top Vancouver pairing of Alex Edler and more specifically Chris Tanev, whom Stecher replaced in his previous Vancouver stint.

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Beware of What Zone Starts are Telling You, Part I: Coaches' Deployment

Jeremy Davis
November 03 2016 03:02PM

It’s early in the 2016-17 NHL season, but it’s never too early for Canucks fans to start complaining about player deployment! This season has already seen its fair share of head scratching decisions when it comes to who plays when (and with who), and it’s not going to get any easier on Willie Desjardins and his crew if the team keeps on losing.

NHL coaches can’t slip much past the general public these days, what with the ease of access to massive amounts of data, and deployment is no different. One of the most commonly cited events are zone starts, purported to be both an indication of how coaches deploy players and context to explain high or low shot differentials. As it turns out, both of these connections may be greatly exaggerated, meaning these numbers might not be telling you what you think they are.

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Utica Comets Week in Review: October 24th - 30th

Jeremy Davis
November 02 2016 05:00PM

Header Week 3 - Valk

Photo Credit: Lindsay A. Mogle / Utica Comets

The Comets played a little better last week, but still didn't have much to show for it, walking away with one win out of three games. The Comets aren't getting much scoring from Canucks prospects (other than Jordan Subban), or much scoring in general, there are injuries all over the place, and their special teams are abysmal.

So if you wanted to head to the AHL for refuge from the Canucks' troubles, I have some bad news for you: the farm is looking a little bleak right now.

But who cares about that, come read about the Comets week that was anyways!

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