Canucks Army GDT #72 - Predators @ Canucks

Dimitri Filipovic
March 19 2014 01:05PM

Firing_M1A1_tank_in_Djibouti

It's not set in stone yet because they're technically still mathematically "in the hunt" (as I'm sure Sportsnet will waste no time in reminding you of!), but for all intents and purposes, Monday's loss in Tampa Bay put an end to even the most outside of shots the Canucks had at the playoffs. 

We figure you'll need to hit the 95-point mark to have a chance at getting in, and even if the Canucks win their final 11 games, they'll top out at 94. Which is fine, because this is something we've been expecting and bracing for, for a while now. At least around these parts. 

With that in mind, every loss the team takes over these final couple of weeks improves their draft position, helping them moving forward. It's more than a little disconcerting how quickly the priorities have changed, but it's the reality.

With that in mind, tune in tonight to not-so-secretly cheer against your favourite team. If that makes you feel like a bad person, you've got an out: it's the annual Canucks for Kids Fun Telethon night, so maybe helping out a good cause will help mitigate some of that aforementioned guilt.

Broadcast Info

Puck Drop: 7:00 PM PST

TV: Rogers Sportsnet Pacific

The Canucks

[Rosters via Daily Faceoff]:

Screen Shot 2014-03-19 at 2.28.12 PM

Screen Shot 2014-03-19 at 2.28.17 PM

The Predators

Screen Shot 2014-03-19 at 8.40.52 AM

Screen Shot 2014-03-19 at 8.41.00 AM

The Greatest Tank Battle

In the grand scheme of things, this is a pretty important game. Here's a refresher on the landscape we're dealing with:

Screen Shot 2014-03-19 at 9.07.32 AM

The Canucks are currently 20th in the league's overall standings, but their edge in games played on every one of their peers is a big advantage in this regard. Marshall Henson went ahead and put together a list of everyone's remaining schedule in their vicinity, to gauge their chances of dropping even further. 

They're pretty decent, particularly if they fall to the Nashville Predators tonight. That'll be easier said than done, though. After all, we're talking about a Predators squad that went ahead and laid down for the Edmonton Oilers last night, getting hammered by a 5-1 score. After landing a guy like Seth Jones last year they've got the type of experience that'll surely make them a difficult foe in The Greatest Tank Battle. 

Regardless, it's because of this that the final 11 games of the season still carry intrigue for the Canucks. They currently only have a 1.5% chance of winning the draft lottery, but if they're able to fall all the way down to 25th, that shoots up to 6.2%. It also positions them much more favourably in the pursuit of landing an impact player this summer..

The Numbers

[Stats via Extra Skater]:

Canucks Predators
5v5 Corsi For % 51.7 (10th) 49.7 (15th)
5v5 GF/60 2.13 (T-19th) 1.97 (25th)
5v5 GA/60 2.20 (T-12th) 2.62 (26th)
5v5 PDO 99.6 (T-16th) 97.7 (30th)
     
5v4 GF/60 4.66 (27th) 6.40 (11th)
5v4 SF/60 58.4 (4th) 48.9 (22nd)
4v5 GA/60 5.11 (6th) 6.77 (25th)
4v5 SA/60 40.4 (1st) 47.6 (8th)

Gameday Reading 

Disclaimer: this article is an "Insider" piece on ESPN, so unless you've got an account, you won't be able to read it.. but I'll pass it along anyways because it's so worthwhile. Craig Custance put something together yesterday on the future of the analytics movement in hockey, with some very choice quotes from smart minds like Lou Lamoriello, Dean Lombardi, and Doug Armstrong. My favourite one out of the bunch was this one from the Blues GM:

Screen Shot 2014-03-18 at 7.41.09 PM

How does that apply to the Canucks?

Oh..

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Dimitri Filipovic writes about hockey on the internet, and is the Managing Editor of Canucks Army. You can follow him on Twitter @DimFilipovic, and email him at dimitri.filipovic@gmail.com.
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#1 Vintage
March 19 2014, 03:23PM
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I think the headline in the post right before this one means that Tanev is not starting alongside Hamhuis tonight...

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#2 Alex
March 19 2014, 03:33PM
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@Vintage

It's tough to win the tank battle if everyone puts in a good effort.

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#3 van
March 19 2014, 05:50PM
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Sabres, Oilers, Flames and 4 games against regressing Avs and Ducks - our tanking situation looks poor. Need a few players to get in the way of a Weber shot tonight...

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#4 JFR
March 19 2014, 06:44PM
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Sad situation can't make playoffs, but too good to get a real good draft pick.

Torts out coached the talent.

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#5 andyg
March 19 2014, 09:30PM
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Torts has come up with a new way of dealing with salary cap.

Only dress 9 forwards.

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#6 Spikey
March 19 2014, 10:03PM
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jensen scoring goals when we don't want him to is a pretty classless move

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#7 Lemming
March 19 2014, 10:44PM
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If only we had a young scoring forward a couple months ago...

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#8 NM00
March 19 2014, 11:10PM
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You know, Dallas & Phoenix aren't THAT far ahead in the battle for the final Western wildcard spot.

It's not impossible that a couple of teams cluster around 90 or 91 points for 8th place.

But who am I kidding.

The Canucks will end up 9th in the West and 14th at the draft just to screw with us...

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#9 Huntington Beach Chiropractor
March 20 2014, 04:53AM
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Huntington Beach Chiropractor diagnose encompass fracture, nerve problems, tumor, implant issues and serious injuries. Recognized as a health care profession, chiropractic care is effective treatment to dwindle acute back pains. It is suitable and beneficial to folks who wish to maintain healthy spine for protracted time.

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#10 island #1
March 20 2014, 11:48AM
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Huntington Beach Chiropractor wrote:

Huntington Beach Chiropractor diagnose encompass fracture, nerve problems, tumor, implant issues and serious injuries. Recognized as a health care profession, chiropractic care is effective treatment to dwindle acute back pains. It is suitable and beneficial to folks who wish to maintain healthy spine for protracted time.

What the hell is this?Do you think the posters on this site are in need of Chiropractor diagnose`s ? Got some inside information buddy? lol

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