January 18 2013 08:40AM
We're all thinking it. The kid's time is now.
While there's been a lot of obfuscation on this one, Ryan Kesler appears to be ahead of schedule. The first ten games of the season features seven games against teams that should finish behind the Canucks.
The table is set to run out the young guy and see if he's got the stuff as an NHL player. This needs to be qualified by all of the tabel salt, but he certainly appeared to in Thursday night's scrimmage.
For most prognosticators, Andrew Ebbett's maturity and actual NHL experience has kept him a the presumptive fronter to be the short term number two centre to begin the season. But that's the risk-averse pick, and I hate risk-averse decisions. The best picks are the educated risks and Jordan Schroeder would be an educated risk.
Relatively easy schedule to start with
Here's the opening ten games for the Green and Blue:
By my count, there are three really tough games in there - the Sharks, the Kindg and the Hawks. But there are also some games in there where a young player like Schroeder could thrive. Home games to start against the Ducks, the Oilers and the Flames? Schroeder's not exactly a slouch in his own end, but it's fair to assume that the likes of Taylor Hall, Ryan Nugent Hopkins, Nail Yakupov, Jordan Eberle, Jarome Iginla, Ryan Getzlaf, Corey Perry and Bobby Ryan will be up against the Sedins and Max Lapierre. There will be plenty of soft minutes, and slower third pairing defenseman (Matt Greene, Mark Fistric, Sheldon Souray, for example) for Schroeder and Mason Raymond to exploit. With Zack Kassian riding shotgun, it could be fireworks. Of course it could also be a lot of goals against, but let's ignore that for now.
He's already in great shape
Remember, Schroeder's in mid-season form. He's played 30 games for the Wolves already. He's picked up 19 points. At his rate of scoring this campaign, he's good for 52 AHL points in an 82-game season. As a comparison point, Cody Hodgson and Jordan Schroeder spent the 2010-11 season as teammates. Hodgson recorded 0.57 pts/gm while Schroeder managed 0.45 pts/gm. We always knew that Schroeder would be on a slower development curve, ahd he's also a different kind of player player. This season he's increased his production to 0.63 pts/gm and has earned compliments for his strong two-way play.
Rob Vollman's AHL-NHL translations suggest he'd produce at a 0.34 pts/gm clip, not great for a second line centre. But a 30 point scoring rate from a sheltered young player is nothing to sneeze at.
He's also been playing games for three months, while his older teammates (and the rest of the league) were getting rusty. There's a lot of NHLers won't be up to speed until nearly ten games out anyway; so Schroeder's got the chance to build some NHL self-confidence while much of the league is simply looking to find its legs.
Yes it was just a scrimmage, but Schroeder's Thursday night matching with Mason Raymond shows potential. Raymond bagged a hat trick; two of the goals came from outstanding passes by Schroeder.
Despite our persistent belief in the 'make the team out of training camp' narrative, successful teams don't pick their lineups based on a small sample size that consists of less-than-full strength lineups. But with Schroeder as an NHL player there's little to go on. He's never made it out of training camp and he's never skated in a regular season or playoff game. What we do have to go on is his display of skill and on Thursday night this shone through. The potential is there, anyway, and he's already got one winger he's familiar with (potentially Zack Kassian) on top of the new one in Raymond.
Hiring the guy who can grow outside the box
That guy is not Andrew Ebbett. We know what he can do, he won't let the team down. But he's also thirty years old.
A family friend who worked for Air Liquide told me when I was young about what he looks for in a new hire. He told me that if he were presented with two equally qualified candidates, who interviewed equally well and appeared to have equivalent experience, both with MBAs; if one of them had a history or political science or other such humanties degree, he would choose that candidate, even if the other candidate had an undergraduate business degree.
The rationale was that the the history degree gave the applicant skills that fell outside the box - he knew how to builid a well-researched academic argument, from front to finish. He figured the all-business applicant would be super reliable and a solid choice, but would possibly be lacking in the creative thinking department.
Choosing Jordan Schroeder is like picking the history/political science applicant. We know he can do the job as well as Andrew Ebbett, but his youth speaks to a potential upside that should not be ignored. Neither choice, in the short term, presents much risk; in the long term, one has much stronger growth potential.
Time is now
Jordan Schroeder is 22. There's no better time to start your NHL journey. He's ready to learn about the next step. There's a window of opportunity for the Canucks to find out about what they've got, with very little risk.
It's time to play the kid.