Deadline Preview: Five Forwards to Target

Jeff Angus
February 23 2012 08:43AM

Thankfully the NHL trade deadline is only a few days away (Monday, February 27th), as the amount of rumours and speculation swirling in the media seems to be at an all-time high. The Canucks are one of only a few contending teams that don’t really need to do anything at the deadline, and sometimes the best moves, are the ones that aren't made.

That said, GM Mike Gillis likely recognizes that his team’s window to win is now, and at the very least he should be working the trade market for some depth at both forward and defense. Earlier this week, Thomas Drance did a thorough inventory of Canucks needs, trade chips and cap-space, and yesterday Cam Charron broke down how the Canucks have fared at previous trade deadlines. Today I'll look into somewhat realistic trade targets, but speculating about picking up depth players isn’t all that interesting. So why don’t we take a look at five of the bigger name forwards who could be made available come Monday morning?

Read on after the jump!

We'll be "grading" the potential postseason impact of these acquisitions along a highly scientific scale (what else would you expect from Canucks Army). At one end of the spectrum is Martin Rucinsky. Known as a soft, inconsistent one-dimensional winger, Rucinsky was brought in to replace the recently-suspended Todd Bertuzzi on the top line. Square hole, round peg. Rucinsky unsurprisingly flopped in memorably spectacular fashion.

At the other end of the spectrum is Martin Gelinas. Gelinas was acquired off of the waiver wire from Quebec mid-way through the 1993-94 season and he had a gritty, understated, Chris Higgins-like impact during Vancouver’s playoff run. He went on to several more productive seasons with the team as well - so he's the model of an "impact" pick-up. Let's get to it.

Shane Doan – Phoenix

Why?

On the ice, Doan embodies everything you could want in a hockey player. He is strong, tough, and skilled. He leads all Phoenix forwards in ice time, and he has been incredibly healthy over his 16 year NHL career (all with the Phoenix/Winnipeg organization). He would bring Vancouver some scoring depth, some size on the wing, and lots of leadership.

Why Not?

Doan is the heart-and-soul of hockey in Phoenix. If the team were to move in the summer, he’d likely entertain the thought of leaving at that point in time. However, it is unlikely that Doan would request a move while the Coyotes are in the thick of playoff contention, and the recent acquisition of Antoine Vermette signals that the Coyotes are probably buyers, not sellers at the deadline. Additionally, news broke on Tuesday that a potential buyer for the Coyotes would like to keep the team in Glendale (and no, his name is not Gary Bettman).

Rucinsky-to-Gelinas Meter:


Shane Doan scores an easy 100% Gelinas rating.

Steve Ott - Dallas

Why?

Ott is a versatile player – he is easily able to play all three forward positions. He is strong at faceoffs, and he has more offensive ability than most give him credit for. His contract is quite reasonable (cap hit just below $3 million) when you factor in all that he can do for a team. The Dallas stars could be interested in a Mason Raymond-for-Ott swap, as it would provide them with more offense to build around for the future. Can you imagine a line that features Maxim Lapierre centering Ott and Alex Burrows? Jack Edwards may spontaneously combust if the Canucks and Bruins were to meet again in the Stanley Cup Final.

Why Not?

He is also regarded as one of the most annoying players to play against in the league, and Vancouver may already be at their quota for this. More seriously, the new Dallas owner and Vancouver’s ownership group don’t exactly see eye-to-eye, a feud which may block any potential deals between the two teams. Ott’s faceoff prowess isn’t as important to the Canucks as it could be to another team, as they already have four centers who are above average at taking draws.

Rucinsky-to-Gelinas Meter:


If Ott can reign it in like Lapierre did: he could be a great pick-up.

David Jones - Colorado

Why?

Jones is a well-rounded offensive player who can skate well and shoot the puck very effectively. He scored 27 goals last season, and he’s slated to become an unrestricted free agent this summer. Like Doan, he would give the Canucks more offensive weapons on the second or third line, and he’d bring some size as well.

Why Not?

There will likely be a lot of interest in Jones from teams more desperate for offense than the Canucks are. Colorado is also not likely to deal him within the division.

Rucinsky-to-Gelinas Meter:


Nice player, but he brings offense to the league's best scoring team so...

TJ Galiardi – Colorado

Why?

After scoring 15 goals and 39 points two seasons ago, Galiardi has failed to get back to that level of production, battling injuries and consistency-related issues. He’s a versatile player, but he hasn’t found a stable spot in Colorado’s top nine. He’s a restricted free agent this summer, and will likely be seeking a healthy raise off of the $700,000 he currently makes.

Why Not?

As mentioned above, the Avalanche will still retain his rights this summer. Like Jones, Colorado may not want to deal within the division, especially with a young player like Galiardi (he turns 24 in April). He has shown the ability to be a really good player before (especially against San Jose two years ago in the playoffs), and Colorado may not want to sell low.

Rucinsky-to-Gelinas Meter:


Young, playoff performer who has fallen out of favour with the Avs/Nords Franchise? He's the 2nd coming!  

Paul Gaustad - Buffalo

Why?

Gaustad is a very good checking center who plays a physical, north-south type of game. He’s a free agent this coming summer and it doesn’t sound like the Sabres intend on re-signing him. He is only one of two Sabres with a positive plus-minus rating (I know, I know, plus-minus isn’t the perfect hockey stat, but it does have some use with the right context).

Why Not?

The Canucks would love to add a 6’5” forward who plays the game the way Gaustad does, but again, they likely aren’t going to be as desperate for face-off help as other contending teams around the league will be.

Rucinsky-to-Gelinas Meter:


Nice piece, but he provides things the team mostly already has - so, he scores a "Rucinsky."

Conclusion:

All five of the aforementioned players would improve Vancouver’s chances of winning the Stanley Cup in 2012. However, the team would be better off using whatever tradable assets they have in order to add a quality defenseman or two. As we continue to see every year, you can never have enough good defensemen during the postseason. The Canucks may add a depth forward, but thanks to the David Booth trade and the surprise emergence of Cody Hodgson, the top three lines are shaping up quite nicely. This is the first season in quite some time in which the Canucks really do not have any pressing needs up front (Byron Bitz's hip situation pending…).

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Jeff shares his Canuck-related thoughts with the Army a few times per week. His work can also be found over at DobberHockey.com, as well as his personal blog, AngusCertified.com. Give him a follow on Twitter @anguscertified.
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#1 Daniel W.
February 23 2012, 09:53AM
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Nice article, I especially liked the 'Rucinsky-to-Gelinas-Meter'! I hope there is another article coming on the possible options on defense the Canucks might pursue (Maybe a Weinrich-to-Brown-Scale :D)

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#2 Thomas Drance
February 23 2012, 10:02AM
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There is indeed another article exactly as you described including a Weinrich to Brown meter (we thought of it weeks ago, we're not stealing your idea!)

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#3 dan lortimer
February 23 2012, 11:12AM
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CANUCKS DROP BALL ON AV

ANTOINE VERMETTE was exactly what we needed for the playoffs.

He is very underrated - a clone of Ryan Kesler.

(their career stats, when normalized for time on ice situations are almost identical!)

He is a penalty killer supreme and is a real threat to score shorthanded. (this would free up Kesler from these tough minutes his (3.00/per game killing penalties) which is a waste as he is much better on PP and Head to head with top centers as in Chicago series. Also VERMETTE scores and gets points at the same rate as Kesler. This is a clear upgrade over Maholtra and or Laperrie. Also Vermette is a faceoff Winning machine approx 55% for career. This neutralizes the puck possession advantage that teams like Detroit and St. louis have over us (see fenwick/corsi ratings)and gives the the strength down the middle to compete against these teams and with Boston.

He is also 29 the same age window as burrows kes et all.

As for the cap - Raymond could have been dealt away if necessary.

Also when Sedins get shut down in playoffs as so often happens you could have played kesler on wing ( his natural position) to load up and use AV as a second center. Also , centers are worth close to 1.8 times wingers.

To think that such a strong playoff two way player is sent away for no roster players is a rare event and shows how far most gms are away from understanding basic hockey stats.

With the race for the cup so close AV could have been a difference maker? -(one shorthanded goal here, a key face off there)

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#4 Thomas Drance
February 23 2012, 11:38AM
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Vermette would've been a nice addition for all the reasons you've listed, there's no doubt about it. But with his contract (hefty), term (past next season, when the Nucks will need to resign the likes of Edler/Burrows/Higgins) and because he plays centre (where the Canucks go 5 deep) - I'm not sure he really made a lot of sense.

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#5 Mantastic
February 23 2012, 12:45PM
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you are over valuing mason raymond. no way could you get Otter for just raymond. You would need at least raymond + 1st (late pick)and a B prospect. 2.5m to qualify raymond for next year for a forward who doesn't put up a lot of points and doesn't really contribute much offensively besides his speed is a bad price to pay.

raymond's value alone would be a late 2nd round pick to a early 3rd.

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#6 dan lortimer
February 23 2012, 03:18PM
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@Thomas Drance

Of course the same arguments could be made against the Red Wings signing Quincey.or Hossa signed by the Hawks!

But winning organizations ALWAYS are improving.

AV is a clear upgrade over Maholtra and/or Lapierre. His contract is good value.

Canucks will regret their weakness at center this spring

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#7 Ian L.
February 23 2012, 08:42PM
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Jeff, could you please elaborate on the Vancouver - Dallas ownership feud you touched on in the Steve Ott section?

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#8 Don
February 24 2012, 08:15AM
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I would love to see the Canucks make a play for David Clarkson. Guy can score and is the gritty player that will take care of the Marchands and Thorntons in the playoffs.

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#9 Jeff
February 25 2012, 08:00PM
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Ian - the new Dallas owner was a former business partner of Francesco Aquilini and the two originally planned to buy the Canucks together. They then faced off in court over the rights to the team.

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